Tag Archives: rates

Moving on up?

Is This the Year to Move Up to Your Dream Home? If So, Do it Early | Simplifying The Market

Is This the Year to Move Up to Your Dream Home? If So, Do it Early

It appears that Americans are regaining faith in the U.S. economy. The following indexes have each shown a dramatic jump in consumer confidence in their latest surveys:

  1. The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
  2. National Federation of Independent Businesses’ Small Business Optimism Index
  3. CNBC All-America Economic Survey
  4. The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Survey

It usually means good news for the housing market when the country sees an optimistic future. People begin to dream again about the home their family has always wanted, and some make plans to finally make that dream come true.

If you are considering moving up to your dream home, it may be better to do it earlier in the year than later. The two components of your monthly mortgage payment (home prices and interest rates) are both projected to increase as the year moves forward, and interest rates may increase rather dramatically. Here are some predictions on where rates will be by the end of the year:

HSH.com:

“We think that conforming 30-year fixed rates probably make it into the 4.625 percent to 4.75 percent range at some point during 2017 as a peak.”

Svenja Gudell, Zillow’s Chief Economist:

“I wouldn’t be surprised if the 30-year fixed mortgage rate hits 4.75 percent.”

Mark Fleming, the Chief Economist at First American:

“[I see] mortgage rates getting much closer to 5 percent at the end of next year.”

Lawrence Yun, NAR Chief Economist:

“By this time next year, expect the 30-year fixed rate to likely be in the 4.5 percent to 5 percent range.”

Bottom Line

If you are feeling good about your family’s economic future and are considering making a move to your dream home, doing it sooner rather than later makes the most sense.

Top 3 Things Second-Wave Baby Boomers Look for in a Home

Top 3 Things Second-Wave Baby Boomers Look for in a Home | MyKCM

According to data from the U.S Census bureau, there are approximately 76.4 million baby boomers living in the United States today. Contrary to what many think, there are very different segments within this generation, and one piece that sets them apart are their housing needs.

John McManus, editorial director of Hanley Wood’s Residential Group says his company “is focusing on the preferences of the younger half, or second-wave baby boomers, as they exhibit different needs than the older boomers.”

What are ‘second-wave baby boomers’ looking for?

McManus says, “They are seeking a fun, dynamic lifestyle with a home that can also adjust to their changing needs in the future. Living space should either include accessibility features, such as doorway space, lower shelves, and nonslip surfaces, or be easily adjustable when the time comes.

In a homebuyer study performed by The Farnsworth Group, the participants revealed their reasons for purchasing a new home. The top three factors that influence their purchase include area/location (50.2%), price/affordability (37.4%), and the layout of the home (19%) (as shown in the graph below).

Top 3 Things Second-Wave Baby Boomers Look for in a Home | MyKCM

The report also found that when buying a new home, there were other concerns like quality of construction (9%), a safer neighborhood (8.4%), better floor plans (8.25%). The most important rooms or areas are the kitchen (82.8%), master bedroom (59.2%), and great room (36%).

Technology also plays an important role! Second-wave baby boomers prefer wireless security systems (7.1%), lighting that senses and adapts to them (6.3%) and integrated home technology, including “smart” thermostats and lighting controlled by a smartphone (6.2%).

Grey Matter Research and Consulting points to a sense of community as a major factor in wanting to purchase:

The first impressions are important when entering a new community, as is feeling welcome in the community. Amenities such as clubhouses, pools, and walking trails featured prominently in the decision to purchase in a community. Location was key, as residents want their new homes to be near shopping, dining, medical services and entertainment.

Bottom Line

If you are one of the many ‘second-wave’ baby boomers who is starting to feel like their current homes no longer fit their needs, take advantage of the low inventory of existing homes in today’s market by selling your current home and moving on to one that truly fits your new lifestyle.

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The Difference Your Interest Rate Makes

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10 Yr. US Treasury Yield – 2.47%

Janet Yellen doesn’t speak until tomorrow, but the FOMC Meeting starts today. Rates have risen so much since the last meeting, it is nearly guaranteed that they will raise rates this time around. However, if you’re expecting rates to spike on the news, I would argue that they will likely fall back down to around 2.19% on the 10 Yr UST in the near term due to the huge bond market decline going into the event. That’s the true irony of the markets, they often do exactly the opposite of what the popular consensus expects. Buy the rumor, sell the news!

Regardless of the Fed’s Rate Decision, Be Prepared! While many market pundits are predicting the biggest stock market rally in all of history, and the consensus is the same…it is a good idea to be a little more pragmatic. The biggest bubble in all of modern monetary history has been blown over the past decade, so with each tick higher, the stock market becomes MORE risky, not less. 
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RANGE BOUND AND BORED?? SUMMERTIME SADNESS…

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Rates remain range bound since May what will it take to go lower? Click to listen!

Are They Taking the Punchbowl Away???

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Click here to find out where we are headed with Mortgage Rates!!!

 

 

Get the Paddles…there could be life left in this rally

 

 

 

 

 

Click here to see the quick market update!

 

 

 

Surprise!!! Another Rate Rally….

Take advantage now, it will not last…rates set to by over 1% higher by end of the year.

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Are you missing this Opportunity?

Historically there is always that one day that was the best day ever.  In the mortgage industry we look at the lowest day ever for rates, as that best day ever.  That day was yesterday, now what I love the most are the sofa surfers that know more about the market than I do and insist on holding out for lower rates, because our trusted media who by the way has no track record of being correct when it comes to financial matters,says so. The last two easing initiatives  QE1 and QE2 both played out exactly like Operation Twist has so far played out, and there is no reason to think the outcome will produce any further drop in rates than what we have experienced the last two days. Both QE’s produced big gains in the first two days and then came a pull back due to profit taking then a slight rally back the following open market day then flat line for the next couple months. Be sure to watch the video a take a good look at the charts…you will see the patern already deveolping.  There is not one person with a 30 yr fixed that should not be seriously considering a refinance right now…do it for free in case I’m wrong and rates drop further, you can do it again, no harm no foul.  Worried that you are starting your 30 year term over and you will never paydown your home…let me show you how wrong you are…for a free consultation email me or apply on this site. Banks are out of capacity they will not drop rates any lower, each time they do they cut into their own profits and on top of that before this recent drop the did not have staff to handle the loans coming in…so do it NOW, or you will be missing a great free opportunity.

Operation Twist?

Day two of the FOMC meeting and we are about to get the word on upcoming monetary  policy direction.  Watch the video to hear the plan and why the government thinks this stimulus package will keep long-term rates low.  The real questions is will it work and how will this affect Mortgage Backed Securities and interest rates.  I’m taking a locking stance, as I fully expect some volatility this afternoon.